Berenberg analyst Andrew Wishart says the Bank of England is likely to keep its policy rate at 3.75% on Thursday but may warn that a rate rise remains possible if energy prices surge or second‑round inflation effects appear. He stresses such a warning does not imply a high probability of a hike, though the threat combined with rising oil could lift rate expectations and mortgage borrowing costs, reducing inflationary pressure. Berenberg expects the Bank to resume cutting in December and to lower the policy rate to about 3.0% by mid‑2027. Wishart notes wages and services inflation are trending
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:20 16
据伊通社（IRNA）：伊朗革命卫队称，只要有美国官员的过度言论、威胁以及他们对地区海上活动的干涉仍然存在，霍尔木兹海峡就不会重新开放。威胁和干涉只会使局势变得更加困难和复杂。
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:20 18
IRNA: Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen so long as U.S. officials' excessive rhetoric, threats and interference in regional maritime activity continue, and that those actions only make the situation more difficult and complex.
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:20 17
据路透：消息人士称，卡塔尔能源公司今年已购买33船美国液化天然气（LNG）货物，以帮助抵消霍尔木兹危机期间的供应中断。卡塔尔能源公司加大了向亚洲交付美国现货液化天然气的力度，以维护客户关系。
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:10 8
Polish police said early this morning they received reports of a loud blast between the villages of Tarnawa-Kolonia and Biskupice in Biłgoraj County. Officers found a crater and debris from an unknown object in a field; the scene has been cordoned off.
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:10 7
纽约期银日内跌幅达1.00%，现报57.31美元/盎司。
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:10 13
New York silver futures down 1.0% intraday at $57.31/oz.
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:10 12
A股深证成指午后跌超4%，上证50指数跌超1%。
A-share Shenzhen Composite Index fell over 4% in afternoon trade; SSE 50 Index fell over 1%.
沪深两市成交额连续第252个交易日突破1.5万亿元。
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:10 15
韩国KOSPI指数最新下跌1.4%，SK海力士跌5.8%，三星电子涨0.2%。
South Korea's KOSPI fell 1.4%; SK Hynix dropped 5.8%; Samsung Electronics rose 0.2%.
中际旭创A股成交额超400亿元，现跌15.5%；中际旭创(03308.HK)上市首日破发，现跌超9%。
Zhongji Xuchuang A shares saw turnover exceed CNY40 billion and are down 15.5%. Zhongji Xuchuang (03308.HK) fell below its IPO price on Hong Kong debut and is trading more than 9% lower.
现货白银回落至57美元/盎司下方，日内跌超1%。
Spot silver fell below $57/oz, down more than 1% intraday.
中国地震台网正式测定：07月30日12时42分在印尼巴布亚省（南纬2.95度，东经138.65度）发生5.1级地震，震源深度20千米。
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:10 11
CENC measured a M5.1 earthquake at 12:42 on July 30 in Papua province, Indonesia (2.95°S, 138.65°E); hypocenter depth 20 km.
China's National Energy Administration said national peak load reached 1.553 billion kW (1,553 GW) during the summer peak, about 45 million kW (45 GW) above last year's peak. Since early July, widespread persistent heat and improving economic activity have driven repeated record electricity demand; 15 provincial grids including Liaoning, Jiangsu and Hubei logged a combined 32 new peak-load records since June. The NEA said power supply across the country remains broadly stable.
新闻速递 小金 07月30日 13:01 10
据波兰Radio Zet电台：波兰卢布林地区塔尔纳瓦-科洛尼亚一处直径10米的弹坑现场正在由波兰消防员负责警戒，此前当地接到爆炸报告。
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